Instinct program 0.30c1/17/2024 ![]() ![]() HOW EXPERTS PLAY THE HAND If You Want to Play like Zia A Shanghai Probability When Several Honors Are Missing Fear of the Unknown jason Hackett's Direct Approach Common-sense Probability A Dubious Signalġ 2. Subjectivity and Probability Descartes Was Understandably in a Bad Moodġ1. I iv ) Bridge, Probability and lnfomuuion DEMONSTRATOR DEALS ET Plays a Hand The Changing Seascape Professor Emeritus Jones Takes a View Aim for the Harbor, but Look for the Shoals Odds and Evens Hey, Mister, What's Your Rush? The Abbot's Giant Leap of Faith NEVER, EIGHT♾VER, AND BEYOND When A Priari Doesn't Work The Eight♾ver Rule Missing the Jack.INFORMATION AND SURPRISE ON THE OPENING LEAD Edith Kemp Was Surprised at First Silence Is Golden The Hean Lead Against 3NT Prelude to Bayes' Theorem - The journey so FarĪPPLYING BAYES' THEOREM Monty, Marilyn and the Theorem of Bayes Bayes' Theorem Applied to Card Play The Bayes Equation Monty's Messages Bayes' Theorem and Random Discards The Effect of a Panial Playdown INFORMATION THEORY AND DECLARER PLAY The A Priari Odds and Suit Splits The Division of Sides The Holistic Approach to the Division of Sides The Distribution of Sides The 8765 Distribution of Sides Going with the Odds The 7766 Division Emeritus jones's 7766 Disaster in the Dining Hall What Exactly Are Vacant Places ? Vacant Places and Playing for the Drop Kelsey's Rule WHEN THE DUMMY COMES DOWN Counting Cards Alice in Bridgeland The Inferential Count Percentage Play When Virtue Goes Unrewarded How Probabilities Accumulate The Enlightenment of Scrooge I n Conclusionĥ1 53 55 61 63 65 Table ofContents I iii ) A PRIORI ODDS AND VACANT PLACES Old Hat Problem Vacant Places and Variable Odds The Dog that Didn't Bark Reese's Reading of the Much Maligned 3-3 Split Playdown in a Suit THE CONCEPT OF PROBABILITY Mathematics and Bridge Probability Is Synonymous with Information A Glimpse into the History of Probability Pascal's Triangle Information and Probability in the 20th Century Interlude of Movie Madness Is Bridge Beautiful ?ĬOMBINATIONS AND PERMUTATIONS Vacation at the Hotel du Paradis Back to Pascal's Triangle Card Combinations Comparisons of Even and Odd Splitsĥ. Sullivan/New Mediatrixġ4 13 12 1 1 10 1 234567 PRINTED I N CANADAĮMOTION, LOGIC, AND HOW WE DECIDE Where Do Blunders Come From? Luck, Chance and Design The Gods Love the Odds Is Bridge a Science ? Editor Copy editor/interior format Cover and ioterior design We acknowledge the financial suppon of the Government of Canada through the Book Publishing Industry Development Program ( BPIDP) for our publishing activities. Bridge, probability and information I Roben F. Library and Archives Canada Cataloguing in Publication Toronto, Ontario, Canada M5M 1 H2 (416)78 1 -035 1 Email: Websites: Reproduction of this material without authorization, by any duplication process whatsoever, is a violation of copyright. It is illegal to reproduce any ponion of this material, except by special arrangement with the publisher. Mackinnon Cover image: New Vision Technologies lnc./Photodisc/Getty Images All rights reserved. �r&orwcwgS) !JJ!iJrtJU!LOW� �lWilfiJ [jVJ ![]()
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